UPDATED 7:04 PM PT – Wednesday, December 7, 2022
Economists warned that the U.S. will be facing another recession next year, due to high inflation and shrinking business investment.
Alessio de Longis, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco Investment Solutions commented on the matter.
“A recession is not a question of ‘if,’ it’s a question of ‘when.’ We do think that a recession will come at some point maybe in late 2023,” de Longis said.
According to J.P. Morgan Chase’s’ CEO Jamie Dimon, a possible upcoming recession could be “a hurricane” and it could erode money-saving of millions of Americans.
He added that it is still unclear whether the next year’s crisis will be mild or severe.
Meanwhile, investors are worried that an upcoming recession could further cripple business sentiment. Nouriel Roubini, CEO of Roubini Macro Associates made a statement.
“You get in every case a hard landing, even when you have cases of oil heating from a aggregate demand. Let alone when like the 70’s situation with negative supply shocks that have used growth, increasing inflation and we raise interest rates then, then that’d end up in a hard landing,” Roubini said. “So even if we’re in a mild recession, right now the market is, depending on the day, 15% like down.”
Economists say that U.S. stocks could decline by as much as 25% due to a recession next year.
Meanwhile, major American banks are expecting another recession to hit the U.S. economy next year after a technical contraction in the first half of 2022.